Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.634174 0.816030 1.021172 1.266943 1.550621 1.865141 2.237544
2025-08-10 0.375082 0.595884 0.878706 1.254689 1.728766 2.294779 3.009481
2025-08-17 0.209318 0.424356 0.740205 1.204701 1.838437 2.643217 3.712207
2025-08-24 0.133431 0.344520 0.696132 1.258560 2.074195 3.157813 4.649224
2025-08-31 0.077122 0.266450 0.628910 1.259902 2.229256 3.570652 5.474925
2025-09-07 0.050745 0.230459 0.618140 1.339460 2.496084 4.143977 6.534364
2025-09-14 0.031037 0.194485 0.595085 1.391077 2.720016 4.664531 7.540129
2025-09-21 0.016991 0.159198 0.560823 1.414388 2.896794 5.121416 8.470844
2025-09-28 0.007229 0.121596 0.506491 1.389174 2.988716 5.453472 9.233444
2025-10-05 0.003141 0.100285 0.482602 1.415751 3.163925 5.912545 10.186389
2025-10-12 0.000989 0.080549 0.453842 1.425953 3.308589 6.327376 11.083933
2025-10-19 0.000091 0.058326 0.404814 1.382915 3.353462 6.586116 11.757381
2025-10-26 NaN 0.041202 0.361671 1.346033 3.408777 6.868376 12.483250
2025-11-02 NaN 0.031417 0.339516 1.353957 3.546540 7.286945 13.424391
2025-11-09 NaN 0.020632 0.300697 1.311532 3.583452 7.541426 14.123087
2025-11-16 NaN 0.017700 0.301799 1.373979 3.828311 8.145521 15.368225
2025-11-23 NaN 0.012725 0.283120 1.378127 3.956095 8.557366 16.325559
2025-11-30 NaN 0.011672 0.292547 1.464135 4.254249 9.263568 17.751515
2025-12-07 NaN 0.009717 0.291803 1.519736 4.492021 9.872724 19.036505
2025-12-14 NaN 0.007266 0.281666 1.544886 4.666992 10.378403 20.167907
2025-12-21 NaN 0.004356 0.256795 1.518281 4.729795 10.691411 21.000900
2025-12-28 NaN 0.003112 0.249305 1.546625 4.911348 11.214199 22.173338
2026-01-04 NaN 0.001982 0.237481 1.557516 5.054264 11.671387 23.247107